Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.190945 3.739908 4.324276 4.989499 5.722627 6.502898 7.393055
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.253876 2.974193 3.801051 4.806956 5.984183 7.305465 8.887474
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.619224 2.407058 3.380001 4.637578 6.187910 8.006072 10.268215
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.215762 2.031438 3.110919 4.583990 6.482507 8.790852 11.751980
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.913938 1.721780 2.866636 4.510562 6.715807 9.482760 13.125355
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.768758 1.603321 2.854249 4.723493 7.307936 10.626477 15.077382
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.609896 1.426393 2.727312 4.753817 7.642730 11.437966 16.621186
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.533059 1.368888 2.766443 5.013416 8.289916 12.666217 18.720724
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.459247 1.299263 2.773632 5.218096 8.860014 13.800255 20.716942
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.379370 1.197864 2.713033 5.308379 9.262176 14.710772 22.431385
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.295027 1.063115 2.575417 5.261696 9.454330 15.330320 23.762809
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.244118 0.988442 2.532668 5.358353 9.854676 16.240366 25.495071
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.197158 0.910678 2.477547 5.435407 10.236446 17.147000 27.261807
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.142135 0.788102 2.317033 5.319450 10.313881 17.621088 28.444310
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.097909 0.672718 2.150315 5.174751 10.333574 18.005999 29.504915
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.070128 0.594601 2.048664 5.134816 10.512582 18.621229 30.893238
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047718 0.518628 1.936966 5.063946 10.633277 19.147799 32.160302
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040957 0.510161 1.985040 5.298860 11.264401 20.445908 34.543548
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029387 0.464781 1.933140 5.333792 11.559528 21.242007 36.217025
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026119 0.466791 2.004226 5.615860 12.279542 22.692876 38.851616
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.021883 0.458074 2.045002 5.837736 12.901273 24.002714 41.297099
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.016115 0.429488 2.026292 5.935570 13.310496 24.992231 43.288256
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009783 0.380660 1.939997 5.885242 13.457844 25.577917 44.695108